CRISIS DESIGN
How to Write a Model UN Crisis Arc
A crisis arc is the structure of pressures, actors, secrets, and possible consequences that power a Model UN crisis committee. It is not a screenplay. If delegates can only discover the scenes the writers prepared, their choices are decorative rather than meaningful.
The strongest arcs prepare a world with momentum and then let delegate decisions determine which conflicts grow, which alliances survive, and what the final crisis becomes.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
- Write a dynamic world, not a fixed sequence of scenes.
- Build actors with goals and resources independent of the committee.
- Design updates around decisions and consequences.
- Prepare branches as modular pressures rather than separate scripts.
- Keep a live record of the world as delegates change it.
Begin with a dramatic question
The central question should permit several defensible answers. “Will the government survive?” is useful only if survival can mean different things: preserving constitutional order, winning a war, preventing famine, or consolidating control. The disagreement creates politics.
- Can reasonable characters want incompatible outcomes?
- Can delegates change the answer through action?
- Will success require tradeoffs?
- Can the question evolve as information changes?
Create actors, not plot devices
Give important external actors an objective, resources, fears, constraints, and a current plan. They should continue acting even when delegates ignore them. This makes the world feel alive and gives the backroom a logical basis for reactions.
- Objective
- Sources of power
- Information and misconceptions
- Red lines
- Potential allies
- Likely next action
Map the starting state and timeframe
Before the opening update, record who controls what, what the public believes, which relationships are stable, and which resources are scarce. This baseline makes consequences measurable. Set the starting time shortly before the major decisions you want delegates to experience, after the roots of the conflict are established.
Decide how many rounds the conference can support and how much simulated time passes in each round. Faster time favors long-term strategy; slower time permits tactical action. Only track details that could affect a decision. A beautiful encyclopedia that no staff member can consult during committee is less useful than a concise operational record.
Build modular escalation
Prepare pressures that can enter in different orders. A security crisis, political defection, financial shock, public leak, or diplomatic offer can be adapted to the existing state. Each module should contain a trigger, visible evidence, affected actors, and several possible responses.
- Pressure
What new constraint or opportunity appears?
- Choice
Which meaningful decisions become available?
- Reaction
How will external actors respond to likely approaches?
- State change
Which facts, resources, or relationships must be updated?
Use branching without writing every branch
Do not write five complete alternate stories. Instead, prepare consequence rules. If delegates centralize authority, resistance may become more coordinated. If they publicize a secret, alliances may become more transparent but less stable. These rules generate coherent reactions without requiring prediction.
Design secrets as decisions
A secret matters when possessing, revealing, trading, or concealing it changes relationships. Avoid secrets that exist only for a dramatic reveal. Decide who knows it, what evidence exists, who benefits from disclosure, and what false explanation currently competes with the truth.
Prepare the ending as a convergence
Define several conditions that could shape the endgame—legitimacy, territorial control, institutional loyalty, public confidence, or resource security. In the final phase, bring the most important conditions together. The exact ending should remain unwritten until the committee creates it.
Reference & further reading
Crisis Guide 3.0
Skyler Lee, Department of Diplomacy, National Chengchi University
One workspace for the whole crisis.
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